ESPN's FPI predicts Wake Forest Football's record game-by-game (2024)

ACC Kickoff is next week, Wake Forest Football fall camp is just three short weeks away, and the 2021 season gets started when Old Dominion visits Truist Field on Friday,

Les Johns

ESPN's FPI predicts Wake Forest Football's record game-by-game (2)

ACC Kickoff is next week, Wake Forest Football fall camp is just three short weeks away, and the 2021 season gets started when Old Dominion visits Truist Field on Friday, Sept. 3 — less than 50 days away.

It's time to get excited about Demon Deacon Football!

Wake returns every starter on the offensive side of the football that scored a program-record 36.0 points a game in 2020, and have nine super-seniors strewn across the field. While a program-record sixth straight bowl appearance is clearly a goal for the Demon Deacons, the spring mantra was to move from 'good to great,' and the staff believes this team gives them their best chance to rise toward the top of the ACC.

National outlets have started weighing in with their preseason look at Wake Forest, including ESPN's FPI index, which has the entire season results projected, game-by-game.ESPN defines its FPI as a "measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is. Projected results are based on 10,000 simulations of the rest of the season using FPI, results to date, and the remaining schedule. Ratings and projections update daily."

Here's a look at how that index projects each game in the 2021 Wake Forest Football season:

Old Dominion

Date: Friday, Sept. 3

Location: Truist Field

Opponent's FPI ranking: 125

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 96.2%

One of just two games the FPI predicts to be virtually a lock for the Demon Deacons. Interesting that Wake Forest graduate student defensive tackle Miles Fox will be starting his final season squaring off against his former team.


Norfolk State

Date: Sept. 11

Location: Truist Field

Opponent's FPI ranking: NA

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 99.3%

This is the game on the schedule in which Wake Forest is the largest favorite, according to the FPI. The Spartans didn't play at all in 2020 and were 5-7 in 2019. Clearly, the Deacs need to begin the season 2-0.


Florida State

Date: Sept. 18

Location: Truist Field

Opponent's FPI ranking: 44

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 51.5%

Wake Forest has only defeated Florida State in consecutive games once, actually grabbing three-in-a-row from 2006-08. If there's ever a chance to replicate that, it's this season as the 'Noles come back to Winston-Salem after bowing out at the last minute because of Covid-19 late last season. FSU coach Mike Norvell has things headed on the right track on the recruiting trail, but those won't be the guys coming to Truist Field in mid-September. If the Deacs want to continue their run from 'good to great,' this will be a game they need to win.


Virginia

Date: Friday, Sept. 24

Location: Scott Stadium - Charlottesville, Virginia

Opponent's FPI ranking: 37

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 32%

Though only picked to finish fifth preseason by the ACC experts at 247Sports, ESPN doesn't give the Deacs that big of a shot in their first road game of the season. This game for the Cavs is sandwiched between road trips to UNC and Miami, so the Deacs definitely have a bit of a chance to sneak up on them — especially considered they are infrequent opponents. This is the only ACC team Dave Clawson is currently undefeated against, moving to 2-0 after a 40-23 victory at Truist Field last season.


Louisville

Date: Oct. 2

Location: Truist Field

Opponent's FPI ranking: 43

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 51.0%

Though the Cards were a bit of a train wreck in 2020, they still had enough to top the Deacs late in the season at Cardinal Stadium. That's now two in a row for Louisville against the Deacs after Matt Colburn ran all over them in 2017 and 2018. This is thesecond of three vital 'coin flip' games the FPI has Wake Forest involved in this coming season.


Syracuse

Date: Oct. 9

Location: Carrier Dome - Syracuse, NY

Opponent's FPI ranking: 96

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 69.5

Here's one of the two ACC games in which Wake Forest is a prohibitive favorite. The Orange were picked last in the ACC Atlantic and are widely considered one of the worst Power 5 teams entering the 2021 season. It wasn't all that long ago that Dino Babers had Syracuse rolling, but things have gone south quickly. Key point here is that the first four ACC games for the Deacs this season are completely winnable. Getting off to a 3-1 or 4-0 start could really propel Wake to a special campaign.


Army

Date: Oct. 23

Location: Michie Stadium - West Point, NY

Opponent's FPI ranking: 78

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 61.4%

Never an easy non-conference victory, the Demon Deacons travel to West Point to face the triple option attack following a bye week. The last trip to Michie Stadium saw a Mike Weaver field goal sail through the uprights as time expired for a 17-14 Wake Forest victory in 2015. The Black Knights returned the favor by defeating the Deacs at BB&T Field the following season. Wake leads the all-time series 11-5.


Duke

Date: Oct. 30

Location:Truist Field.

Opponent's FPI ranking: 82

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 70.8%

Best chance of an ACC win, according to the FPI index, against the team 247Sports experts predicted to finish last in the ACC Coastal. It's the first of three-straight contests against Big Four opponents for Wake Forest — a series of games that will likely have massive bowl implications. The Blue Devils are down and this is as close to a must-win as you can label a game in mid-July. With eight games down, a record like 7-1 is a perfectly reasonable possibility for the Deacs as October comes to a close, indicating that extremely meaningful games would be played in the month of November.


North Carolina

Date: Nov. 6

Location:Kenan Memorial Stadium - Chapel Hill, NC

Opponent's FPI ranking: 14

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 17.8%

Aside from the trip to Clemson, this is the game in which the FPI has Wake as the biggest underdog. The games againstUNC the last two seasons have gone down the wire, however, and the Deacs had Howell and the Heels down by 21late in the third quarter last season before a monumental collapse. This is likely to be a lot closer than the FPI indicates now.


North Carolina State

Date: Nov. 13

Location: Truist Field

Opponent's FPI ranking: 41

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 49%

The final projected 'coin flip' game on the schedule according to the FPI, this one is liable to have massive ACC standings and bowl selection ramifications. The Wolfpack had a strong 2020 campaign, and is a trendy pick to be the top Atlantic challenger this season to Clemson. NC State won this game 45-42 in the second game of the 2020 season, stopping a three-game winning streak for the Deacs over the Pack.


Clemson

Date: Nov. 20

Location: Memorial Stadium - Clemson, SC

Opponent's FPI ranking: 2

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 3.8%

This really hasn't been a competitive game yet in the Clawson Era, as the Tigers have taken care of business en route to ACC titles and College Football Playoff Championships. The Deacs want to get to this mid-November game with something to play for and then shock the college football world.


Boston College

Date: Nov. 27

Location: Alumni Stadium — Chestnut Hill, MA

Opponent's FPI ranking: 50

FPI chance of a Wake Forest victory: 37.3%

According to the FPI, this is the second-best chance of a road victory for the Demon Deacons. Wake has won the last three times at Boston College, and Clawson has never lost at Alumni Stadium. The two teams did not play in 2020.

SUMMARY

The FPI has Wake Forest with a projected record of 6.4-5.6, as the No. 56 team in the country. The Deacs face the No. 28 ranked strength of schedule.

Clearly, getting off to a hot start and staying healthy will be keys to Wake Forest moving from 'good to great' this season.

ESPN's FPI predicts Wake Forest Football's record game-by-game (2024)

FAQs

How accurate is ESPN FPI predictions? ›

75% accuracy in picking a game winner isn't bad, but it isn't anything exceptional. You should be able to get around 50% if you pick the winner randomly, and some of the games, such as MSU vs. Troy, don't require much skill to pick.

How does FPI work? ›

FPI's rating is based on the average number of points by which team would beat an average NFL (or college) team on a neutral field. The model uses a Bayesian framework, using priors around the EPA rate of each team unit, derived from preseason expectations.

What does FBI mean in football? ›

FBI stands for Fenerbahce Incorporated (football team in Turkey)

What is the college football power index? ›

The FPI is meant to predict team performance moving forward and represents "how many points above or below average a team is." It includes such metrics as projected win-loss record, chances of a team going undefeated and chances of winning a national championship. Additionally, the FPI ranks FBS teams from 1-133.

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ACCURACY. Betagamers.net is the surest prediction site providing the most accurate football predictions in the world with average accuracy above 80%, an accuracy level that is impossible for many forecast sites on the internet to reach.

How accurate is the football power index? ›

FPI's accuracy

Over the last 10 seasons, the FPI favorite has won 75 percent of FBS-versus-FBS games, which is comparable to the Vegas closing line. Looking at the last four seasons, that percentage has risen to 77 percent, and in games that FPI and Vegas differed, the FPI favorite won 55 percent of the time.

What is FPI in simple words? ›

Foreign Portfolio Investment (FPI) involves an investor buying foreign financial assets. It involves an array of financial assets like fixed deposits, stocks, and mutual funds. All the investments are passively held by the investors. Investors who invest in foreign portfolios are known as Foreign Portfolio Investors.

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Factors Affecting Foreign Portfolio Investment

Interest Rates: Any investor would prefer a high return on investment. Therefore, investors look for countries whose interest rates are high. Tax Rates: There are taxes levied on capital gains, and a higher tax rate can reduce the overall return on investment.

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G-man (short for "government man", plural G-men) is an American slang term for agents of the United States Government. It is especially used as a term for an agent of the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI).

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FBI shines the spotlight on the JOC (Joint Operations Center) analysts — Kelly Moran (Taylor Anthony Miller), Elise Taylor (Vedette Lim), Ian Lim (James Chen), and Agent Hobbs (Roshawn Franklin), seen each week, with Assistant Special Agent in Charge Jubal Valentine (Jeremy Sisto), finding the intel the team needs — in ...

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For the most part, FBI Special Agents and other employees are overt, which means they can tell anyone they want where they work. CIA also has overt employees. They, too, can tell anyone where they work. There is a subset of CIA employees who are covert, and their affiliation with the Agency is not acknowledged.

Who has the toughest schedule in college football? ›

When it comes to strength of schedule, Ole Miss takes the cake with the most difficult stretch next season to lead the Top-25.
  • Ole Miss Rebels.
  • Minnesota Golden Gophers.
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May 21, 2023

Who is the number 1 college football team? ›

1. Georgia Bulldogs. Post-spring outlook: The two-time defending national champions will have plenty of new faces on offense after former coordinator Todd Monken left for the NFL and quarterback Stetson Bennett departed.

What is power 5 in college football? ›

However, five of the six former AQ conferences are now known as the "Power Five conferences": the Big Ten Conference, the Big 12 Conference, the Atlantic Coast Conference (ACC), the Pac-12 Conference, and the Southeastern Conference (SEC).

Which site can predict football matches correctly? ›

1. Eagle Predict
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Golf. Golf is probably the most predictable sport to bet on. Because golf involves only one player, there is no chance of an upset or surprise victory.

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According to Similarweb data of monthly visits, israelhayom. co. il's top competitor in May 2023 is ynet.co.il with 60.2M visits. israelhayom.co.il 2nd most similar site is haaretz.co.il, with 13.6M visits in May 2023, and closing off the top 3 is mako.co.il with 44.2M.

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ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI) is a "measure of team strength that is meant to be the best predictor of a team's performance going forward for the rest of the season. FPI represents how many points above or below average a team is.

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Ronaldo: 36/40

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About. nfelo is a prediction model built on top of 538's Elo framework that uses unique dynamics about the NFL to improve prediction accuracy. It is one of the (if not the!) most accurate public models available on the internet.

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FPI disadvantages

Investors can gain substantially from exchange rate differences. Markets in any country are inherently volatile. Despite the fluid nature of FPIs, losses may pile up if funds are not withdrawn hastily.

What are examples of FPI? ›

Foreign portfolio investment (FPI) refers to the purchase of securities and other financial assets by investors from another country. Examples of foreign portfolio investments include stocks, bonds, mutual funds, exchange traded funds, American depositary receipts (ADRs), and global depositary receipts (GDRs).

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Fluorescent penetrant inspection (FPI) is a highly effective method for identifying surface-breaking flaws, cracks, and defects that might otherwise go unnoticed. This non-destructive testing (NDT) technique is widely used in various industries, including aerospace, automotive, medical, and power generation.

What are the two types of FPI? ›

FPI in India refers to investment groups or FIIs (foreign institutional investors) and QFIs (qualified foreign investors).

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Analysts flagged multiple reasons for the FPI selloff - expensive valuations due to the recent outperformance of Indian equities over their global peers, reallocation of funds to China and Taiwan for their relatively cheaper valuations, the reopening trade in China and global growth concerns.

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While FII inflows depend on the return potential of the destination market and the availability of risk capital at source geographies. Further, any change in the environment in any of these will result in quick reversal of the flows. Hence FPI is known to be speculative, highly volatile and un-predictive.

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The FBI advises that: Government agencies will never call to demand money or personal information. Even if you do owe money, legitimate government representatives won't call to threaten to arrest you, freeze your accounts, or take your property. You shouldn't trust caller ID.

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operative. spy. undercover agent. cloak-and-dagger man. double agent.

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Salary and Compensation: New Special Agents, called New Agent Trainees or NATs, are paid on the GL schedule for Federal Law Enforcement Officers (LEO), beginning as a GL-10, step 1, while in training at Quantico.

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The FBI is sometimes called the biggest law enforcement agency on earth. Unlike the CIA, the FBI doesn't operate in countries outside of the U.S. The FBI is the enforcement and investigative arm of the United States Department of Justice. It has jurisdiction over 200+ categories of federal crimes.

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The FBI has its role as the custodian of US national security, and it will go to any extent to achieve that goal. The Police forces, on the other hand, perform the crucial arms and legs functions. If the FBI could be likened to the brain, the Police forces are the body parts which perform critical functions.

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Office of Administration (OA)

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Agents carry Bureau-issued or approved handguns and may be issued additional equipment as needed. Those in specialized areas like the Hostage Rescue Teams may also be issued weapons that fit their duties. Agents are allowed to carry personal weapons, provided they do not violate the policies regarding firearms.

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Eligibility Requirements

Be at least 23 years old. Apply before your 36th birthday unless you have veteran's preference or federal law enforcement experience.* Possess a valid driver's license.

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In order to protect sources and methods, and in the interest of maintaining national security, most CIA employees can't discuss their work, even with family.

What college football team holds the most fans? ›

Here are the top 16 largest FBS fan bases in college football:
  • Alabama Crimson Tide. ...
  • Oregon Ducks. ...
  • Florida Gators. ...
  • Michigan Wolverines. ...
  • Penn State Nittany Lions. ...
  • Texas Longhorns. Stephen Lew-USA TODAY Sports. ...
  • Notre Dame Fighting Irish. Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports. ...
  • Ohio State Buckeyes. Syndication: The Columbus Dispatch.
Mar 24, 2023

What is the strongest college football team? ›

The best college football program at winning the most games they play, Ohio State has been playing since 1890, emerged as a power in the 1910s, and hasn't looked back, boasting the sport's best win percentage to date (. 733).

What is the largest stadium in college football? ›

First opened in 1927, the Michigan Stadium, home to NCAA Division I team the Michigan Wolverines, has a capacity of over 107 thousand. Aptly named "The Big House", the stadium in Ann Arbor, Michigan, is the largest sports stadium in the United States.

Who is Alabama's biggest rival? ›

Known as the Iron Bowl, Alabama's annual game against their cross-state rival, Auburn, is a contentious affair for players and fans alike. Meeting for the first time in 1893, the two schools have played 79 times with Alabama leading the all-time series 43-35-1.

Who is the luckiest team in college football? ›

NCAA College Football Luck Rankings & Ratings
RankTeamRating
1TX Christian (13-2)3.3
2Coastal Car (9-4)3.1
3Troy (12-2)3.0
4Florida Intl (4-8)2.3
33 more rows

What college has the most sports teams? ›

Harvard is home to 42 nation-leading Division I intercollegiate sports teams.

How many Division 1 football coaches are black? ›

Coaching Moves and Retirements for 2021-2022

As of December 18, 2022, there are only 15 Black head coaches at NCAA FBS programs, representing just 11.45% of the head coaches at the 131 member institutions.

What does g5 mean in college football? ›

In college football, the Group of Five are five athletic conferences whose members are part of NCAA Division I Football Bowl Subdivision (FBS).

Who has the most accurate fantasy football projections? ›

What is the Most Accurate Fantasy Football Site? In 2021, FantasyPros named Jeff Ratcliffe of FTN Fantasy as the most accurate fantasy expert, with Jake Ciely of The Athletic coming in second.

How accurate is win probability? ›

This guess uses a single contextual factor and involves a very large number of games. But with only one factor, the accuracy of this guess is limited to home advantage itself (about 55–70% across sports) and does not change within the game based on in-game factors.

What does ESPN FPI ranking mean? ›

FPI is a predictive rating system designed to measure team strength and project performance going forward. The ultimate goal of FPI is not to rank teams 1 through 128; rather, it is to correctly predict games and season outcomes.

How accurate are NFL fantasy football projections? ›

Projections in fantasy football should be used as a general guideline, but you should not expect them to be all that accurate. There are just too many variables in football and that makes it largely unpredictable. One missed tackle could give a player fifty more yards and a touchdown.

Who is the #1 fantasy player right now? ›

Top Overall - Weeks 1 to 18 (2022)
#PlayerPos
1Patrick Mahomes IIQB
2Josh AllenQB
3Jalen HurtsQB
4Joe BurrowQB
10 more rows

Who is the most accurate ESPN fantasy football analyst? ›

John Paulsen

For over a decade, Paulsen has been one of the most accurate fantasy football experts on the internet.

Who is the most accurate NFL analyst? ›

Brendan Donahue, the #1 most accurate mock drafter over the past five NFL seasons according to The Huddle Report, gives you his 2023 NFL Mock Draft — making predictions for every team and every pick in the first round.

Do odds get better closer to the game? ›

In many cases, they do not get truly 'sharp' until close to game time. This is true for most sports unless there is a day-to-day injury to a star player. In these cases, it is suggested that you wait until a player is ruled healthy or inactive before placing your bet.

Which is better probability or odds? ›

Most scientists tend to feel more comfortable thinking about probabilities than odds, but that is a matter of training and custom, not logic. The distinction is simple: The probability that an event will occur is the fraction of times you expect to see that event in many trials.

Does higher odds mean more likely to win? ›

High odds are when a betting selection could produce a large payout, but the bet is less likely to happen. In contrast, the term low odds means an outcome that is more likely to happen, but for less value.

How does ESPN calculate SOS? ›

Download NBA Schedule

1) SOS can be calculated by the help of Relative Percentage Index which incorporates W/L records of opponents and opponents' opponents. This method is being used by ESPN.

What is SOS in college football? ›

In sports, strength of schedule (SOS) refers to the difficulty or ease of a team's/person's opponent as compared to other teams/persons. This is especially important if teams in a league do not play each other the same number of times.

How is college football rankings determined? ›

There are three main college football rankings: the AP Top 25, the AFCA Coaches Poll, and the CFP Rankings. For each ranking, the associated voters come up with their own top 25 teams. The ranks of these teams are averaged to determine a cumulative top 25.

What percentage of fantasy football is luck? ›

(for those in multiple leagues, you can probably say which ones are full of fantasy sharks and which are not). So we could interpret the results as performance in YOUR SPECIFIC LEAGUE is based on 20% skill and 80% luck.

What is the best spot to be in fantasy football? ›

What is the most important position to draft first in fantasy football? Running backs are easily the most important position to prioritize in fantasy football. There are not enough running backs to go around, so somebody is going to get hosed at this position.

What is the most common fantasy football scoring system? ›

Standard games have the same scoring format available during league creation: Head-to-Head: Points. This is the most commonly used scoring format in fantasy football. In a Head-to-Head points league, your team plays against another team each week, per the league's schedule.

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